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Private Investment Accounts Rapidly Losing Support
Says Tracking Poll
March
2, 2005 – Support for adding private investment accounts to the Social
Security system has been declining steadily since the first survey by
the Pew Research Center last December. Americans favoring the proposal
has dropped from 54 percent to only 46 percent. The youngest Americans,
those under 30, are the only ones who have increased their support. The
new poll was released today.
Below is their summary of the findings.
Summary of Findings
President George W. Bush is losing ground with the
public in his efforts to build support for private retirement accounts
in Social Security. Despite Bush's intensive campaign to promote the
idea, the percentage of Americans who say they favor private accounts
has tumbled to 46% in Pew's latest nationwide survey, down from 54% in
December and 58% in September. Support has declined as the public has
become increasingly aware of the president's plan. More than four-in-ten
(43%) say they have heard a lot about the proposal, nearly double the
number who said that in December (23%).
The new poll indicates that the Social Security
debate is packing a powerful political punch. It finds that just 29% of
Americans approve of the way that Bush is handling the issue. This is
the president's lowest approval rating for any policy area, and is
considerably lower than his overall job approval rating of 46%.
Moreover, by a 65%-25% margin, most say the president has not explained
his Social Security proposal clearly enough.
| |
 |
| |
Change in support
for private accounts by age group.
|
Age |
Dec. % |
Feb. % |
|
-30 |
64 |
66 |
|
30-49 |
56 |
49 |
|
50-64 |
51 |
41 |
|
65+ |
40 |
25 |
|
Further, the public expresses much more confidence
on this issue in the AARP, which is strongly opposed to private
accounts, than they do in the president or in Republican congressional
leaders. However, Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan, who has
offered a qualified endorsement of Bush's plan, also is widely trusted
on Social Security. And while just 42% say they mostly trust Bush on
Social Security, Democratic congressional leaders earn no more trust
than the president (41%).
The latest national survey by the Pew Research
Center for the People & the Press, conducted Feb. 16-21 among 1,502
Americans, suggests that the public agrees with Bush that the Social
Security system is facing funding problems. Two-thirds (67%) think that
the Social Security program will run short of money in the future.
Yet even among supporters of private retirement
accounts, the proposal's major appeal is not that it will make the
program more financially secure. More than half of the supporters of
private accounts (52%) say they favor the idea mainly because private
accounts will give individuals greater control; just 20% support private
accounts because they will make Social Security more financially stable.
Among opponents of private accounts, nearly half
(48%) worry about potentially risky investments. A significant number
also cite the possibility that guaranteed benefits will have to be cut
(28%). And 15% say the main reason for their opposition is that
establishing private accounts will increase the federal budget deficit.
Over the past two months, support for private
retirement accounts has declined among most demographic and political
groups.
But the erosion has been especially steep among
Hispanics (down 18 points since December), conservative and moderate
Democrats (down 17 points), and people age 65 and older (15 points).
Support among African Americans for private
accounts also has slipped from 50% to 36%, despite Bush's concerted
efforts to promote his plan with blacks.
The president finds the greatest support for his
plan among his fellow Republicans (68% favor private accounts) and among
people under 30 (66% favor). Opinion among these groups has remained
relatively stable since December.
The survey includes other findings that may portend
trouble for private accounts. At this stage, opponents of the plan are
more fixed in their attitudes than those who favor this option. A 68%
majority of those who oppose the plan say they feel strongly and will
not change their minds. In contrast, just 53% of backers are strongly in
favor, with as many as 45% saying they could change their opinions and
oppose private accounts.
In terms of other possible Social Security changes,
there is considerable public opposition to proposals that would raise
the retirement age (72% opposed), reduce the rate of benefit growth
(64%), and raise payroll taxes (56%).
The only possible changes tested that win majority
support are those aimed at wealthy Americans. Six-in-ten favor applying
the payroll tax to all wages, which would scrap the current limit of
$90,000; and 58% would limit Social Security benefits for wealthy
Americans.
See the full Pew Research report - Click
|
|
December 2004 |
February 2005 |
Change in |
|
|
Favor |
Oppose |
DK/Ref |
Favor |
Oppose |
DK/Ref |
Favor |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Age
|
|
Under 30 |
64 |
24 |
12 |
66 |
19 |
15 |
+2 |
|
30-49 |
56 |
27 |
17 |
49 |
35 |
16 |
-7 |
|
50-64 |
51 |
36 |
13 |
41 |
44 |
15 |
-11 |
|
65+ |
40 |
40 |
20 |
25 |
58 |
17 |
-15 |
Sex and Age
|
|
Men -50 |
61 |
27 |
12 |
57 |
28 |
15 |
-4 |
|
Women -50 |
56 |
25 |
19 |
52 |
33 |
15 |
-4 |
|
Men 50+ |
53 |
39 |
8 |
41 |
47 |
12 |
-12 |
|
Women 50+ |
40 |
37 |
23 |
29 |
52 |
19 |
-11 |
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