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Senior Citizen Politics

Senior Citizen Democrats Among Strongest Supporters of Clinton, Gallup Finds

Senior citizens give Clinton wide margin over Obama

May 24, 2007 – A Gallup poll released today shows senior citizens, who are Democrats or Democratic leaners, strongly support Sen. Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. They also choose Clinton by a wide margin over second place candidate Barack Obama.

Lydia Saad of Gallup News Service reports, “Not only does Hillary Clinton rank first among the leading candidates for the 2008 Democratic nomination in Gallup's national polling, according to data from an aggregated sample of over 3,000 interviews with Democrats conducted by Gallup since March, she monopolizes the position at the subgroup level among men, women, whites, blacks, young adults, and seniors. She also leads regardless of Democrats' religious affiliation and political ideology.”

 

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Obama is in the unique position of a former state politician on the national stage for less than three years running against what amounts to a Democratic institution in Hillary Clinton, says Saad.

“Obama does well among blacks, but more importantly for his candidacy, he also does well among non-blacks. He has galvanized significant Democratic support around his candidacy across a broad spectrum of the party, in a very short period of time,” she notes.

Clinton's widest leads over Obama are with women, seniors, those living in low- and middle-income households, and the non-college educated. Obama performs best with high socioeconomic groups and among those with more independent leanings, including young Democrats. 

The Gallup analysis does not consider that most likely that it is strongly the women that are driving the Clinton support - all the groups giving her big leads are dominated by women - seniors, low and middle income, and non-college educate.

Only with "Democrats" who aren't really Democrats, but independents who lean toward the Democratic Party, as well as with college educated and upper-income Democrats, is Clinton's current hegemony challenged (though not usurped). Among these groups, Obama roughly ties with Clinton as the preferred candidate.

Clinton's Core Support

Clinton's strongest support comes from groups associated with the traditional working-class base of the Democratic Party: lower-educated Americans, Easterners, lower-income Americans, seniors, women, and minorities. In line with this, she also does very well with those who unequivocally associate themselves with the Democratic Party.

Support for Clinton in 2008 Democratic Nomination
(Top Demographic Support Groups for Clinton)

Based on Gallup Surveys March -- May 2007

 

Clinton

Obama

Gore

Edwards

Clinton
Lead vs.
Obama

 

%

%

%

%

Pct. pts.

Less than high school

42

12

19

12

30

East

42

18

17

10

24

Less than $30,000

41

20

16

12

21

Black (non Hispanic)

41

33

12

3

8

65+ years

40

17

12

16

23

Democratic Party ID

40

21

14

13

19

Women

40

22

14

13

18

Hispanic

39

21

21

6

18

 

Top 5 Choices Based on Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party

 

May 10-13, 2007

May 4-6, 2007

Apr 13-15, 2007

Apr 2-5, 2007

Mar 23-25, 2007

Mar 2-4, 2007

Aver-age

 

%

%

%

%

%

%

%

Hillary Clinton

35

38

31

38

35

36

35

Barack Obama

26

23

26

19

22

22

23

Al Gore

16

14

15

14

17

18

16

John Edwards

12

12

16

15

14

9

13

Bill Richardson

2

2

3

2

3

1

2

Joe Biden

2

2

1

1

1

3

2

Source: Clinton Leads Obama Among Whites, Blacks, and Most Other Democratic Subgroups, Gallup News Service

Read the complete report – Gallup Poll

 

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