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Senior Citizen Politics
Senior Citizen Democrats Among Strongest Supporters
of Clinton, Gallup Finds
 Senior
citizens give Clinton wide margin over Obama
May 24, 2007 – A Gallup poll released today shows
senior citizens, who are Democrats or Democratic leaners, strongly
support Sen. Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic presidential
nomination. They also choose Clinton by a wide margin over second place
candidate Barack Obama.
Lydia Saad of Gallup News Service reports, “Not
only does Hillary Clinton rank first among the leading candidates for
the 2008 Democratic nomination in Gallup's national polling, according
to data from an aggregated sample of over 3,000 interviews with
Democrats conducted by Gallup since March, she monopolizes the position
at the subgroup level among men, women, whites, blacks, young adults,
and seniors. She also leads regardless of Democrats' religious
affiliation and political ideology.”
Obama is in the unique position of a former state
politician on the national stage for less than three years running
against what amounts to a Democratic institution in Hillary Clinton,
says Saad.
“Obama does well among blacks, but more importantly
for his candidacy, he also does well among non-blacks. He has galvanized
significant Democratic support around his candidacy across a broad
spectrum of the party, in a very short period of time,” she notes.
Clinton's widest leads over Obama are with women,
seniors, those living in low- and middle-income households, and the
non-college educated. Obama performs best with high socioeconomic groups
and among those with more independent leanings, including young
Democrats.
The Gallup analysis does not consider that most
likely that it is strongly the women that are driving the Clinton
support - all the groups giving her big leads are dominated by women -
seniors, low and middle income, and non-college educate.
Only with "Democrats" who aren't really Democrats,
but independents who lean toward the Democratic Party, as well as with
college educated and upper-income Democrats, is Clinton's current
hegemony challenged (though not usurped). Among these groups, Obama
roughly ties with Clinton as the preferred candidate.
Clinton's Core Support
Clinton's strongest support comes from groups
associated with the traditional working-class base of the Democratic
Party: lower-educated Americans, Easterners, lower-income Americans,
seniors, women, and minorities. In line with this, she also does very
well with those who unequivocally associate themselves with the
Democratic Party.
|
Support
for Clinton in 2008 Democratic Nomination
(Top Demographic
Support Groups for Clinton)
Based on Gallup
Surveys March -- May 2007 |
|
|
Clinton |
Obama |
Gore |
Edwards |
Clinton
Lead vs.
Obama |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
Pct.
pts. |
|
Less
than high school |
42 |
12 |
19 |
12 |
30 |
|
East |
42 |
18 |
17 |
10 |
24 |
|
Less
than $30,000 |
41 |
20 |
16 |
12 |
21 |
|
Black
(non Hispanic) |
41 |
33 |
12 |
3 |
8 |
|
65+
years |
40 |
17 |
12 |
16 |
23 |
|
Democratic Party ID |
40 |
21 |
14 |
13 |
19 |
|
Women |
40 |
22 |
14 |
13 |
18 |
|
Hispanic |
39 |
21 |
21 |
6 |
18 |
Top 5 Choices
Based on Democrats and independents who lean to the Democratic Party
|
|
May 10-13, 2007 |
May 4-6, 2007 |
Apr 13-15, 2007 |
Apr 2-5, 2007 |
Mar 23-25, 2007 |
Mar 2-4, 2007 |
Aver-age |
|
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Hillary
Clinton |
35 |
38 |
31 |
38 |
35 |
36 |
35 |
|
Barack
Obama |
26 |
23 |
26 |
19 |
22 |
22 |
23 |
|
Al Gore |
16 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
|
John
Edwards |
12 |
12 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
9 |
13 |
|
Bill
Richardson |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
|
Joe
Biden |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
Source: Clinton Leads
Obama Among Whites, Blacks, and Most Other Democratic Subgroups,
Gallup News Service
Read the complete report –
Gallup Poll
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