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Medicare Drug Program News

Seniors Being Hit Hard by Unexpected 16 Percent Increase for Top Medicare Drug Plans

AARP MedicareRx Saver raised its average premiums from $14.43 in 2007 to $26.56 in 2008, an 84% increase, according to Avalere Health

June 5, 2008 – Gasoline prices, food prices – everything is going up. Senior citizens, however, are being quietly hit by a gigantic surprise in the form of a premium increase in their Medicare prescription drug plan, despite claims by the administration in January that prices were lower for 2008. Instead, average monthly premiums for enrollees in the 10 most popular Medicare prescription drug plans (PDPs) increased by 16% in 2008, according to new enrollment weighted analysis of Part D data released today by Avalere Health.

 

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The worst offender is the AARP MedicareRx Saver, which raised its average premiums from $14.43 in 2007 to $26.56 in 2008, an 84% increase.

A news release from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services in January said the “projected cost of providing Medicare beneficiaries with a prescription drug benefit through private health plans has come down again.”

The new enrollment data, released by the CMS in late May, provides the most current detail on Medicare beneficiary plan choices as of April 2008 and is the first comprehensive view of beneficiary behavior post-open enrollment season. 

While seniors faced a 16% average premium price increase between June 2007 and April 2008, some of the most popular plans including Humana PDP Standard, AARP MedicareRx Saver, and WellCare Classic, raised their premiums by more than 50%.

"A 16% increase is significant in and of itself, because premiums are rising rapidly at a time when Medicare beneficiaries are finding it harder to afford it," Dan Mendelson, president of Avalere,told the Los Angeles Times.

"These are individuals on a fixed income who are facing rapidly rising prices elsewhere in the economy."

Indeed, he added, premiums for many seniors appear to be going up faster than the cost of coverage for commercial insurance plans that serve workers and their families, according to the Times report by Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar.

"Data from Mercer, a benefits consulting firm, show that drug-benefit costs rose a little more than 9% last year for large employers. Both kinds of coverage are delivered by private insurers, but because the Medicare plan is heavily subsidized by taxpayers, a precise comparison is difficult," wrote Zaldivar.

"Although seniors are one of the most important groups of voters, Medicare has not been a major issue so far in this year's election," he added. "But the rise in prescription premiums may boost Democratic proposals to authorize Medicare to negotiate prices with the pharmaceutical industry."

(Click here for the complete Los Angeles Times report.)

The analysis also found that the average premium increase was lower than if Medicare beneficiaries had stayed in the same top 10 plans as last year. If beneficiaries in the top 10 plans for 2007 had stayed in their plans, premiums would have increased by about 21%.

 

25.4 million in Part D

 

Overall, about 90 percent of the nation’s 44 million Medicare beneficiaries have drug coverage from Medicare or another source.

Approximately 25.4 million are enrolled in Part D; 6.6 million retirees are enrolled in employer or union-sponsored retiree drug coverage that receives the Retiree Drug Subsidy (RDS); and 7.5 million are receiving drug coverage from other alternative creditable sources such as TRICARE; the Federal Employees Health Benefits Program; the Department of Veterans’ Affairs or from their current employers.

Click here to National and State enrollment data 

"Medicare beneficiaries are conscious of value, and many switched into lower cost plans for 2008," said Penny Mills, vice president at Avalere.

For example, SilverScript's enrollment increased 38% after reducing its premium from $27.40 in 2007 to $20.84 in 2008, a 30% difference. At the same time, SilverScript significantly increased the number of drugs covered on its formulary, while other plans were in the process of reducing the generosity of their drug coverage (e.g., increasing cost sharing).

Other key findings from Avalere's analysis:

   ● The top 10 Part D organizations are no longer consolidating enrollment.  Their share of the market shrank from 75% in June 2007 to 72% in April 2008.  This reflects the fact that United and Humana lost a large share of individuals dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, as well as the commercial success of a number of competitive smaller plans including regional Blue Cross plans that carry strong name recognition.

   ● Enrollment in Medicare preferred provider organizations (PPOs) - which many analysts declared dead - grew substantially.  The lifting of the two-year moratorium imposed by the Medicare Modernization Act on new local PPO contracts was lifted at the end of December 2007 and the market responded.  Enrollment in local PPOs grew 64% and enrollment in regional PPOs grew 80%.  The winners in these products were large health plans including United, Humana, and WellPoint.

   ● Enrollment in private fee-for-service (PFFS) plans continued to grow, albeit less rapidly than last year.  The number of beneficiaries receiving drug coverage through PFFS plans grew by 30%, reflecting the success of voluntary marketing restrictions adopted by the major plans as well as the probable saturation of the individual markets in profitable areas.

View Avalere's analysis of the most current enrollment data and premium prices for the 10 most popular Medicare drug plans below.

Enrollment-Weighted Average Premiums for the Top 10 PDPs By Enrollment as of April 2008

PDP Offering
(Parent Organization)

April 2008 Plan Enrollment

2007 Average Premium*

2008 Average Premium*

% Change
(2007-2008)

AARP MedicareRx Preferred (UnitedHealth Group)

2,755,548

$27.93

$32.08

15%

Humana PDP Standard (Humana)

1,559,432

$15.14

$25.53

69%

Humana PDP Enhanced (Humana)

1,396,474

$22.02

$23.35

6%

Community CCRx Basic (Universal American)

1,109,224

$28.92

$24.97

-14%

AARP MedicareRx Saver (UnitedHealth Group)

829,999

$14.43

$26.56

84%

WellCare Classic (WellCare)

597,711

$15.80

$24.68

56%

MedicareRx Rewards Value (WellPoint)

485,247

$24.59

$25.39

3%

SilverScript (CVS Caremark)

482,719

$27.40

$20.69

-30%

Prescription Pathway Bronze (Universal American)

457,832

$25.24

$23.58

-7%

Health Net Orange Option 1 (Health Net)

433,702

$22.24

$19.29

-13%

Top 3 PDPs (by 2008 enrollment)

 

$22.57

$28.15

25%

Top 10 PDPs (by 2008 enrollment)

 

$22.80

$26.39

16%

All PDPs

 

$27.39

$30.02

10%

Source: Avalere Health analysis using 2008 “landscape files” for PDPs released September 27, 2007 by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). 2007 data from November 2006.

* 2007 offerings enrollment-weighted with July 2007 enrollment data. 2008 offerings enrollment-weighted with May 2008 enrollment data.

Avalere Health is a leading advisory company focused on business strategy and public policy. It serves a diverse client base, which includes Fortune 500 healthcare technology companies, federal government agencies, and major medical foundations. The company is organized into seven substantive areas - Medicare, Medicaid, Reimbursement, Long-Term and Post-Acute Care, Health Information Exchange, Evidence-Based Medicine, and Education. Anchored by a comprehensive research engine and staffed by experts in business, medical product commercialization, and health policy, Avalere provides strategic guidance, objective analytic research, and quality educational programs focused on the full range of healthcare issues facing our nation.

Further information can be obtained at www.avalerehealth.net.

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